Where are farmland prices going?

Recently I was doing some research into the average farm land.  Of course one can follow the experts, but when you see what’s happening with your own eye’s it really can be a shocker. In the past six months I have seen farmland near DeKalb, IL, Waterloo, IA, Iowa City, IA, and other areas sell above $12,000 an acre. Now, in the days of crazy housing and everyone thinking they had the best subdivision since Belle Aire, this could seem normal, yet there is virtually no housing going on around the Midwest. However, this is common run of the mill farmland with no possibility of being development land…too far away from towns and cities!

Considering the average farmland hadn’t his $5,000 an acre in 2009 and now we’re seen these kind of prices, only goes to predict a bubble is here and going to hit hard!

The “Great Recession” will end, even if Congress and the President seem to get joy in fighting over the debt ceiling, what I do know is the farming economy will get hit again. Check out my posting from Nov 2009 about the relationship and commonness of farm crisis hitting after every major recession.  My only thought is, lending on these crazy prices is not a good practice without adequate outside collateral and proven cash-flow. Lender beware!

Rumor on the street is West and East cost investors are buying up farmland, driving up the prices.  This could be true, but the land I’ve been watching it was neighboring farmers!

Links: http://www.extension.iastate.edu/agdm/wholefarm/pdf/c2-75.pdf

Links: http://www.nytimes.com/2011/03/04/business/04farms.html?pagewanted=all

 

JR

www.newviennaservices.com

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Using your money is costing you more!

I opened my bank statement the other day, and my service fees went up again. I guess gone are the days of free checking, or at least totally, totally, totally free checking. As resent as five years ago, it seemed like every bank branch had their version of the “Free Checking” banner hanging outside of their front door…I always got a chuckle driving down main street America comparing which bank cleverly came up with their version of free checking that beat the guy down the street. Examples, like “Free Checking”, or “Totally Free Checking” or the best one I saw was “No kidding, Totally Totally Free Checking” always made me laugh, but “Free Checking seems to be gone. The bygone days of the Free Bank Toaster, have now transitioned into the bygone days of “Free Checking”as it seems.

However, it does bother a person knowing that more and more I’m getting nickel and dimed as I deposit and withdrawal my nickel and dimes. With over 13.7 Million Americans out of work as of April 2011 (US Bureau of Labor Statistics); having to pay more to use what little money we have hurts!.

Now, though there certainly is no sympathy anyone can offer for those of us suffering in the banking industry; but working within the Banking industry as I do, I know that cost of doing business for ALL Banks are going up. Increases in FDIC Insurance, Federally mandated changes in fees once charges, or increases in oversight requirements and auditing and so on and so on…compounded this with traditional growth and other increases in expenditures businesses see, coupled with drops in traditional fee income like residential and commercial fees which have dropped drastically in many areas because of the Real Estate crises… all affecting banking operations. Sure, some banks haven’t gotten into the nickel and dime game yet, but they surely will…it’s a matter of necessity for many Banks. Clever Bankers will find more and more ways to increase fee income to offset rising overhead costs, it’s just the nature of the beast now.

For example if you lose your Bank debit card, it may cost you more than $30 for a replacement card, or you’re charged for not using electronic statements or other charges.

Areas where costs are going up:

  • Monthly service fees going up
  • ATM withdrawal fees are going up.
  • Loan fees are going up.
  • Bringing coin to the bank costs money
  • Cashing your check cost money.
  • Talking to a teller more than the allotted number of times costs money
  • Overdraft fees have gone up.
  • The (Fill in the Blank) Fee are being added, or as some have called it… ala-carte fees.
  • And, so on and so on…

 

The trick today is how can I minimize the cost of using my hard earned money, but for banks the trick is how can I offer the best services to my customers while maximizing or mitigating growing expenses and changes in the way Banks can charge consumer. There certainly is no answer to this question and for the short-term consumers will simply have to live with the fees.

I can only speak for myself, as I will definitely not enjoy paying those increasing fees and will work to mitigate them where they affect me, but I do know they’re possibly here to stay? Maybe…

As the banking industry heals, certainly banking incomes will rise and costs of banking operations will stabilize. This will be the opportunity of a life time for the banks willing and able to capitalize on it. One think I know for certain is banking is cyclical and we’ll see somewhat of a return to free banking again…however, it may never be as it once was.

JR

New Vienna Services, Inc.

http://www.newviennaservices.com

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THE DODD-FRANK WALL STREET REFORM AND CONSUMER PROTECTION ACT

We keep hearing about more parts of the Dodd-Frank Reform Act coming online, I felt we could cover it again…

The Dodd-Frank Reform Act was billed and created to setup a sound economic foundation to grow gobs, yet also to protect consumers, while keeping Wall Street under control and end big bonuses, and purportedly to prevent another financial crises and end bailouts. Basically, it’s the biggest overhaul of our financial industry since the great depression.

After the mess that became the credit crises, the Dodd-Frank Wall Street Reform and Consumer Protection Act was signed into law in by President Obama.

HIGHLIGHTS OF THE LEGISLATION:

  • OVERVIEW: The Financial Stability Oversight Council, which was created to oversee high-risk organizations will be identified as “systemically significant” as provided by Titles I and VI of the Act and placed under stricter federal oversight.
  • VOLCKER RULE: Banks’ “proprietary trading” for their own accounts unrelated to customers is being curbed; the growth of the biggest banks is capped; bank involvement in private equity and hedge funds, except for small investments, is barred.
  • DERIVATIVES: This one is new as this will be the first time the Fed’s will regulate this. New regulation will be imposed on the $615 Trillion over-the-counter derivatives market which includes credit default swaps which arguably aided the crisis and hit companies like AIG.
  • WALL ST Disposition: The new law has set up requirements or “a plan” to orderly liquidates a firm. Basically the law is hoping to prevent massive bailouts and disastrous bankruptcies of mega firms… for example Lehman Brothers. This gives the authorities the ability to seize and liquidate firms with costs covered by the sale of assets and fees on other firms if needed.
  • CONSUMER PROTECTION: The law is designed to provide protection of financial consumers and is improving and increasing government regulation.
  • PRIVATE EQUITY: The new law requires private equity and hedge funds to register with regulators and give more disclosure of their books.
  • INSURANCE: The law creates the Federal Insurance Office, which will be the first time the Fed’s are stepping into the states area of regulating insurance companies.
  • CAPITAL: This puts triggers on Banks which will have to set aside more capital if more struggles are upon them.
  • DEBIT CARDS: Debit Card Fees will be adjusted and lowered.

 

Basically the new law creates protections for consumers while giving the government stronger powers to enforce new regulations designed for this end. But also sets up a plan to sure up the Banks, while also setting up and orderly what to deal with Bank’s again if another crisis were to come at us.  

What is uncertain is if all or parts of the new law will remain as several Republicans have vowed to roll back parts of the law. Also, how will our friends overseas reacted to it and we bank globally, or will the states keep fighting to keep control of the insurance piece? With a Senate controlled by Democrats, it will be a challenge for Republicans to gain much traction, but with additional pressures we’ll simply have to wait and see but for now it’s the law.

New Vienna Services

http://www.newviennaservices.com

You can read more at: http://banking.senate.gov/public/_files/070110_Dodd_Frank_Wall_Street_Reform_comprehensive_summary_Final.pdf

Sources: US Senate, Reuters

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Our Post Office closed; our Bank closed; Our Town is now closed!

Throughout my career I have spent a lot of time traveling through cities and small towns throughout the United States and I am simply depressed more each day!

Having lived a big part of my life in the “Big City”; I am certainly a fan of the city and what it offers to its residents; but my home is still stuck in the sticks. I grew up on a farm in a rural area but have been fortunate to have seen a major part of our country having actually visited 38 states…and it saddens me to see our small towns continue to die.

When you live is the “City” it’s easy to forget the small towns that surround you. Sure we can all live without the nosey neighbor who knows more about your business then you do, but there’s something about a small town that I will never be able to explain completely. Maybe it is the small town community environment, or the safe feeling that I get walking the streets at night, or one of many other things a small town offers up in exchange for a Starbucks on the corner; but to see them disappearing one town at a time simply scares me and deeply saddens me for my future and the future of this great country.

When we lose a small town, we lose part of America and who we are and where we came from. And, one of the most important parts of a small town is its Community Bank, and unfortunately they are dying too!

Here is a question for you: “When you think of your Bank, what do you think of?” Certainly you don’t think of Bank Wal-Mart or Bank McDonalds…these mega businesses took away our local diners, corner general stores, local pharmacies and so much more and organized them into neatly organized isles filled with miles and miles of “Stuff”. But, if we don’t stop the FDIC your local Community Bank will be gone too, becoming a McBank!

Sure, when we watch TV or search the web and become accustom to the trademarked advertising thrown at us and we become accustom to the branding. All these Mega Bank’s fight to be your Bank and sell you their products claiming to be your hometown Bank…but don’t be fooled. A McBank is still a Mega Bank. Personally, I’d rather have a choice and I’d choose a local Bank to support me;  not someone 10 states away! But, if the FDIC gets their way you’ll only have your local McBank because the FDIC believes that we only need a handful of Banks in the nation and Community Banks are not needed at all.

“The FDIC, is doing everything they can to drive community banks out of business.” www.wsj.com

Now, in the FDIC’s defense I have never specifically seen or read any publication to this fact, but here are some statistic’s that will alarm you. By the late 1980’s, the FDIC oversaw more that 16,000 banks throughout the country, today that list is down to 7,760 by February 2011. That’s approximately 600 Community Banks closing a year.

What happens when 600 Banks a year are closed and all their branches are taken out of small towns. I see the effects first hand as I drive through the hundreds of small towns throughout the United State and I simply get saddened more and more. When a Bank leaves a small town the last hope for Main Street USA is gone with it. Seeing an empty main street is one of the hardest things to see. When the Bank closes, the Library’s closes, the local school closes, and basically the whole town is closed. What’s even more disheartening is not only are these small towns losing their Main Streets, in the end they lose their churches, their post offices and even their people.

Yes, here is a sortable list of 491 post offices the U.S. Postal Service was closing starting at the end of 2010. If you don’t have a Post Office, you don’t have an identity as a small town?

I was watching “Larry the Cable Guy” on the History Channel recently and he highlighted a small town in Nebraska called Monowi, Nebraska. Monowi once had a few hundred people, but now has simply all but disappeared leaving only one person, Elsie Eiler. I for one hope that we don’t allow this to continue to other towns; sure there are some things that are out of our control, but not closing our small town Banks is in our control!

Remember there are many benefits to dealing with a Community Bank!

The major benefit is that customers can get direct access to decision makers. Also, local Bank Officers are usually deeply involved in local community events and affairs. Sure, big Bank require their staff to provide token community service, but they’re still not the decision makers…those guys are several hundred miles away and probably will never set foot in your town. Having the decision makers accessible to the customer has a direct impact on the customer–allowing him access to the resources of the Bank locally to meet their needs, but also to grow to community as well.

I have worked for several mega Banks in addition to small Community Banks and I can tell you from my experience local Community Banks take the resources of the community and redirect the same resources to local businesses and families. For example, deposits from local customers and businesses are loaned to families in the form of mortgages, personal loans and student loans. I can also assure you that when I worked for worked the Mega Banks, the majority of the deposits were sent to what is called the Big 38, or the biggest metropolitan areas of the country with very little of your money actually staying local. Odds are if you Bank at a Mega Bank, your local Bank branch is what’s called a Deposit branch…ask yourself why is a borrower located in one of the Big 38 more important then you?  

Another plus of a Community Bank is the wiliness to look beyond the Credit Report and at the applicant’s character, family and banking history when making a loan. You’re really just a number to a Mega Bank. Sure, they seem nice and say hello but Wal-Mart has Greeters too.

Mega Banks have underwriting department that uses a formulas or matrixes to see if you deserve a loan. They rely on various financial ratios to approve you, the borrower, and the department surely is in another city or even another state. Don’t get me wrong proper underwriting is important, but that is a tool for a Community Banker, not policy…you really mean something to a Community Banker.

But, knowing the benefits of a Community Bank I ask you why not stay local…remember Community Banks need you just as you need them. Remember, your Community Bank could be on the main street of your small town or even on the corner block just off of Lake Shore Drive in Chicago or any other major city…Community Banks are everywhere!

Everyone in the United State is certainly still angry over the Mortgage debacle, but who caused it…does Countrywide Financial Corp. and Wachovia Corp sound familiar…to name a few! What happened to them by the way; well they were acquired by Mega Banks like Citigroup Inc. and Bank of America Corp to avert failure of the system and of course they were propped up by the government using your money. Remember the phrase: “To Big To Fail”…I don’t buy that one.

The Dodd-Frank Act which was passed recently promised to work well for Community Banks while providing safety for the consumer has actually placed major burdens on Community Banks. The new changes are cumbersome, causing more overhead and more staff requirements; yet the Mega Banks who caused the problem get buy for less due to the economies of scale. On top of added compliance and staffing requirements, the FDIC is pounding Community Banks with major increases in FDIC Insurance Premiums that have gone up as much as 100% or more for some Banks. Also, Capital requirements for Community Banks are going up causing major stresses on profits leading to closings—you can see the dilemma? In a recent exam that I was part of, the Lead Examiner said they’re looking at 10% to 12% capital requirements for all Community Bank, but many Mega Banks continue to  struggle to maintain healthy ratios far below this and without the Federal Bailout would never come close…but they are “To Big To Fail”, remember! Why the double standard I ask?

Community banks are fighting for survival and they need to survive! Whole communities depend on them!

“Community banks are the life-blood of small business, and small business employment is the life-blood of our economy. By showing such favoritism to large banks, our government is in essence undermining our fragile economy. 8,000 community banks serve 10,000,000 small businesses.” www.wsj.com

With that said, the FDIC does not seem to be a friend of the Community Bank. Audits that are over the top only end to attack the customer with Banks trying to comply with FDIC rules that seem to change every six months only compound this problem.

Remember when I said that Community Banks work with borrowers and help grow the communities that they work within…a lot of the new rules Banks are subject to by the FDIC forces Bankers to put decade long Borrowers with histories of good standing and performing loans; now to be categorized as problem loans only to be forced out of the Bank and in some cases causing good customers out of businesses and into bankruptcy.

Mega Banks certainly don’t care if this happens because you’re a number to them. One Banker I talked to said many people who have never missed a payment on their loans are not being renewed and forced out of the Bank by these Mega Banks or they force them into foreclosure or even into Bankruptcy…Like I said Community Bank’s are subject to the same FDIC rules, but your odds of getting help in my opinion are best served by a Community Bank then a Mega Bank.

Also, I found these charts below that I thought were interesting which shows the population concentrations for the United States as of 2010, and then review the concentration of failed Banks…wow! Small town America certainly isn’t causing the problem in my opinion?

To conclude Mega Banks are still reeling from the foreclosure mess, fraudulent documents and robo-signing; which they created and we bailed them out. But Community Bank are ready to get you back into their offices and to support you and your town. If your small town has a few people in it, or a few million in it; your best partner in banking is and will always be your Community Bank. Through trust, through service, and by banking with your neighbor, the Community Banks will survive with your help! So, do what you can and support your local Bank as they support you!

JR

New Vienna Services, Inc.

www.newviennaservices.com

Solutions for Today’s Bank!

 www .reuters.com, www.wsj.com, www.nytimes.com, www.census.gov, www.forbes.com

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EASTER

For those of our friends who celebrate Easter, New Vienna Services, Inc. wishes you a very nice and safe weekend!

For those of you who don’t know, the weekend leading up to Easter Sunday begins with Ash Wednesday which marks the first day of the Lenten season. The Ash Wednesday ceremony is easily identifiable as ashes are placed upon the forehead of observers in the pattern of the cross; or also affectionately called “Ash Heads”. The Season of Lent starts 46 days prior to Easter Sunday. For many Christians who follow or observe Lent, it is a period of fasting, repentance, moderation and spiritual discipline. For example, I try to give up soda for Lent, which is harder then you’d think and I fail! Also, most observers customarily abstain from red/white meat or poultry on Ash Wednesday and each Friday of Lent, having only fish!

I found an interesting example of fasting as an Iowa man actually gave up everything for Lent but Beer, which is an ancient tradition of Monks. Read the story here: http://www.kpho.com/news/27628808/detail.html

Lent continues with masses and reflection until Palm Sunday, which begins Holy Week. This commemorates Jesus’ triumphal entrance into Jerusalem. For me, as a young boy, it simply meant a very long mass, comingled with a lot of palm leaves to take home and staple up all over the house. To learn more check out: Mark 11:1-11, Matthew 21:1-11, Luke 19:28-44, and John 12:12-19).

The Holy Week continues with Holy Wednesday, which reflects upon how Judas conspired with the Sanhedrin, or the equivalent of the Supreme Court of ancient Israel, to betray Jesus for thirty 30 silver coins. You can learn more at: Matthew 26:14-16, Mark 14:10-12, Luke 22:3-6.

The fifth day of Holy Week is Holy Thursday, which commemorates the Last Supper of Jesus Christ with his Apostles.

Good Friday follows and it marks the day on which Jesus Christ is believed to have been crucified. Good Friday reflects upon when Pontius Pilate, a Roman Official handed Jesus over to be crucified. Three days later Jesus was resurrected from the dead, which with the culmination of Lent and is celebrated and thereby ending with Easter Sunday. So, after many weeks of fasting, many observers will break bread with friends and family, gorge on good food and enjoy the day. As for the kids, there is the custom of decorating Easter Eggs, Easter Egg hunts, searching for hidden candy…ending with our most cherished loved ones overdosing on Sugar!

By the way, did you know that Easter is linked to the Jewish Passover in its symbolism and of course is proximity on the calendar? A tribute to how much influence the Jewish folks had on Christianity!

And finally I leave you with the title many Christians and Catholic strive to achieve and who have worked very hard to obtain the title of CEO Catholics or CEO Christians. This well deserved title takes years of hard work to achieve and should not be taken lightly. But for those of you who have never heard of a CEO, I will explain. A CEO Catholic or CEO Christian is someone who only attends church on:

  • Christmas
  • Easter
  • Occasionally

 

Thought I’d end in some humor, as yours truly falls into the category of CEO!

So, please have a safe and pleasant weekend…

Your Friends at,

New Vienna Services, Inc.

www.newviennaservices.com

Some sources: www.sdentertainer.com, www.wikipedia.org, www.newadvent.org, www.catholicsource.net, Bible

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SAFE ACT (deadline for filing is coming)

 The new Mortgage Licensing Act of 2008 (“SAFE Act”) which requires Mortgage Loan Originators who are employed by any federally insured depository institution (banks, savings associations, credit unions and Farm Credit System) to register with the Nationwide Mortgage Licensing System and Registry by this summer. The deadline is set for July 29, 2011 was published jointly by the Federal Reserve Board, the Farm Credit Administration, the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation, the National Credit Union Administration, and the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency and Office of Thrift Supervision.

 Who must register:

  • “An individual who takes a residential mortgage loan application and offers or negotiates terms of a residential mortgage loan for compensation or gain.”“Compensation or gain,” as used in the definition of an MLO, includes salaries, commissions or other incentive, or any combination of such.

 Who is not required to register: 

  • Anyone who performs purely administrative or clerical tasks handling of information related to
  • processing or underwriting, and communication related to attaining such information,
  • That perform only real estate brokerage activities and are duly licensed, or 
  • Solely involved in extensions of credit related to timeshare plans.

SAFE Act is designed to register Originators those whom orientate consumer loans which are secured by a mortgage, deed of trust or other equivalent which has a security interest on a dwelling. Remember, that this includes purchase money mortgages, second or junior liens, home equity lines of credit and construction loans.

Working with the Senior Lending Officer, other Senior Management, should appoint a SAFE Act Officer, or by default the Director of Human Resources is a good idea for this role. The SAFE Act Officer will work towards carrying out the requirements of the SAFE Act and make sure that all employees who must be registered as Mortgage Loan Originators are properly registered and the follow through with renewals.

Duties of the SAFE Act Officer:

  • Together with the Senior Lending Officer the SAFE Act Officer will identify all employees who meet the definition of Mortgage Loan Originator per the Act.
  • Create and make sure proper procedures for SAFE Act compliance are in place, which include processing of background checks on newly hired for MLO positions;
  • Register the Organization with the Nationwide Mortgage Licensing System and Registry.
  • Register all required Originators who are employed by the bank after processing fingerprints and background checks, and
  • Ongoing monitoring for any changes to personal data, i.e.: change of address, etc.

The SAFE Act Officer is authorized to designate employees of the Bank, who may not act as MLOs, to assist with data entry of Bank and MLO information to the Registry and monitor for changes. It is advisable that the SAFE Act Officer get up to date on the requirements if unclear.

Commercial loans are not subject to the SAFE Act.

JR

New Vienna Services, Inc.

http://www.newviennaservices.com

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TAX DAY IS HERE!

and, gone! 

“To tax (from the Latin taxo; “I estimate”) is to impose a financial charge or other levy upon a taxpayer (an individual or legal entity) by a state or the functional equivalent of a state such that failure to pay is punishable by law” http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tax

We need taxes, as they help governmental bodies provide services that we need and some we don’t; but like it or not, taxes are here to stay. The taxation of civilizations is not a new thing. For example the Mayan’s had taxation over 7,000 years ago, although it was also tied within their religion ceremonies. Actually the first known formal system of taxation was in Ancient Egypt way back in 3,000 BC. And, by 221 BC the Ch’in Dynasty in China had unified the states and began taxation there too. The Ghana Empire under Kumbi Saleh set up a system of taxation as early in c.830 in Western Africa and of course Antiquity Europe had taxation too.

Even Jesus and his family paid taxes, see: Matthew 17:24-27, Mark 12:13-17 and Luke 2:1-5.

Taxation on our continent has also been around for a long time. The Colonies had taxation and in fact as you may recall we even went to war them; remember: “Taxation without Representation”. But I bet you didn’t know that we didn’t have a formal income tax law for several decades after we became a new nation. Yes, I know you’re thinking about the 16th Amendment right? In fact the 16th Amendment which was ratified in 1913 did establish our modern income tax…but you’d be wrong if you think it is the first.

The Federal Government needed to pay for the Civil War, and in order to do that the Government imposed its first personal income tax, on August 5, 1861, as part of the Revenue Act of 1861. And, in 1862 President Lincoln and Congress created the office of the Commission of Internal Revenue which got it all started!

So, taxes are here to stay, but how do we “rate” compared to other countries:

  • Belgium marginal tax rate at 54%
  • Finland marginal tax rate at 47%
  • Germany marginal tax rate at 45%
  • Denmark marginal tax rate at 44%
  • Italy marginal tax rate at 43%
  • France marginal tax rate at 40%
  • United Kingdom marginal tax rate at 32%
  • Australia marginal tax rate at 31.5%
  • Canada marginal tax rate at 31%
  • United States marginal tax rate at 27%

 

Wow, it looks like we’re on the bottom of the list, wrong again! Remember you need to include State and Municipal Income Taxes which pushes us up the list. And here is the kicker; when you add property taxes, sales taxes, and everything else…well let’s just say scary!

But, today’s tax day doesn’t have to be too ominous for everyone…why do I say that? According to a CNN Article this past week, 47% of American will not need to pay income taxes this year. I guess that’s good, but not know how the statics were calculated, who knows…to me it just seems like we all pay taxes all the time!

But on a lighter note! Just think; if you’re GE, one of the largest and most profitable companies in the world, you only paid an effective tax rate of 7% in 2010. This year GE’s effective tax rate is a stressful 3.6%.

JR

New Vienna Services, Inc.

www.newviennaservices.com

Sources:

www.wsu.edu

www.ghanaweb.com

http://history-world.org

www.cnn.com

Bible

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CMBS (Commercial Mortgage Backed Securities) Recovery

Did you know the Commercial folks also have a secondary market, just like the Residential market for secondary loan sales which help fund the market? If not, let me fill you in; this is where commercial mortgages are bundled and sold in bonds and of course depending upon their risk, bought by investors. A big buyer of these securities are the Mega-Banks and the question I have is are they buying again and has the market recovered?

I recall talking to some folks at Key Bank and PNC Bank back in mid-2008 and it was like a ghost-town there…I mean nothing was moving. For those of you who don’t know, they are two of several organizations who underwrite and securitize CMBS loans. As everyone knows the residential subprime mishap was a major disaster for all of us, but the commercial secondary market was particular hit very hard and was virtually catastrophic to this market with a 98% fall in issuances from 2007 to 2008 to 2009.  But, signs are certainly leaning towards a recovery. We saw some improvement last year and some insiders suggested that the industry is back…I’d agree that it’s improved, but it’s defiantly not back…yet!

‘With gradually improving economic data and investor’s increasing appetite for the CMBS product, this should boost demand for CMBS product.’ JPMorgan Securities.

However, some Analysts think that the improvements in the CMBS market recently was due a demand for yield, verses improving fundamentals in the market. These pundits also warned that the market tends to be forward looking or optimistic with folks simply waiting to see how the upcoming issuances will be absorbed by the market. According to the current data I found, there was about $11billion in the pipeline this past quarter, and this quarter there is approximately $5billion coming into the pipeline. However, with conservative underwriting being good, as demand for new CMBS, increases we all know that standards tend to deteriorate as competition will drive the market again.  Just on a side note, let’s hope we’ve learned our lesson as well has grow this needed market.

So why is the CMBS Market so important to our national recovery?

Recovery in the CMBS Market and continued activity will help fill a void that our traditional lenders (in particular commercial banks and life insurance companies) can’t or are unwilling to fill. As we’ve seen Banks’ have improved their financial position globally, but as I’ve mentioned in some early postings, with higher reserve requirements and lower losses demanded by the Regulators, this will certainly hinder and increases in commercial lending by traditional banks. Banks will also have to deal with regulatory pressures and future home foreclosure losses that will certainly still be come; making the health of traditional lenders uncertain.

With an estimated $1.4 trillion in commercial loans maturing on top of re-maturing loans Bank extended during the past 3 years we’ll certainly see a growing demand for Commercial Loans. But, with depressed markets and with approximately half of this debt being considered under water based on current valuations, will traditional lenders be willing to re-lend. Also, with traditional lenders quickly hitting their caps or limits; this only highlights the importance of the CMBS market recovery is easily seen.

As I just mentioned with unknown residential losses still out there, it nice to see the US CMBS delinquency for March is showing signs healing. In February delinquency rates, while at a record high actually had the smallest monthly rate of increase since mid 2009. Don’t get me wrong, where not healed yet, but there is hope, but cognizant that delinquency rates continue to be at highest in the history of the CMBS market.

Some stats:

  • 1 year ago, the overall U.S. delinquency rate was 7.61%
  • 6 months ago, the overall U.S. delinquency rate was 9.05%
  • 1 year ago, the rate of U.S. loans seriously delinquent was 6.66%
  • 6 months ago, the rate of U.S. loans seriously delinquent was 8.31%

Having colleagues in the CMBS Markets and with the knowledge of the importance of this source of capital, I hold out hope that the CMBS Market continues to recover. As traditional banks continue to struggle and many more slated to be close FDIC, we will certainly see continued stresses on traditional commercial credit sources. Also, with changes in how traditional banks participate their loans among each other, whereby making it less attractive to pool among themselves, will further hinder pooling of resources among smaller banks to attract Commercial Loans. Additionally as I mentioned before with capital needs elsewhere on the balance sheet, most certainly will affect the FDIC’s 300%/100% CRE to capital stipulation and requirements. Finally with the ending of the current Administrations SBA 90% and no fee incentive which many traditional banks utilized last year will further slow small business growth lending….

To conclude, the limitation of Commercial Credit will certainly continue, so the recovery of the CMBS Market is critical to the National Recovery!

JR

New Vienna Services, Inc.

7274 Columbus Street

New Vienna, Iowa 52065

Sources: WSJ.com; housingwire.com; dailycapitalist.com; trepp.com

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FDIC Loss Share Agreement (Renewals)

I surf the web now and again and I see few folks offering LSA help. Some folks that I’ve heard of some I haven’t. The key however is to find someone who has actually worked with a functioning bank and has been through the process from bid to reporting. Having gone through it personally from Bid to Reporting, it’s easy to spot the want-a-be’s!

But what happens I fear is that once you have their advice, away they go. You need help with the Bid and Due Diligence and then the arduous reporting requirements and inspections/audits the FDIC requires of you either semi annually or annually. At NVS we are available for the long haul.

Remember that the PA is your guide!  

Speaking of the PA, I found some Bankers missing a key part of the PA which governs renewals. Remember, if you advance new money beyond your PA (percentages) restrictions; you’re stuck without prior approval. Also, don’t get into the habit of renewing loans with new numbers, if you do, you just assumed the full risk of that credit and your coverage is gone. Modifications to the loan are the easiest methods of renewals so you don’t get into trouble. The 5 year guarantee on non-single family will go by fast so keep that guarantee in place at all times, don’t allow yourself to undercut your protections…follow your PA.

JR

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Loss Share Reporting Tip!

The FDIC changed their data upload requirements for LSA Reporting recently and many of those who have gotten use to the old upload now have to contend with a new process and all those countless new fields. But, with diligent work it does get better. The intent by the FDIC is to query the new data for forecasting and modeling going forward.

Happy LSA Reporting!  JR

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